STATISTICAL MODEL OF THE INTENSITY OF THE RAINFALL IN SHUMEN REGION: STATISTICAL MODEL OF THE INTENSITY OF THE RAINFALL IN SHUMEN REGION

Donika  Dimanova; Tsvetoslav Tsankov

doi:10.46687/jsar.v4i1.86

Authors

Donika Dimanova KONSTANTIN PRESLAVSKI UNIVERSITY OF SHUMEN, SHUMEN 9712, 115, UNIVERSITETSKA STR.
Tsvetoslav Tsankov KONSTANTIN PRESLAVSKI UNIVERSITY OF SHUMEN, SHUMEN 9712, 115, UNIVERSITETSKA STR.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46687/jsar.v4i1.86

Keywords:

statistical model, floods, crisis situations

Abstract

The report justifies the view that despite the apparent trend of warming and drought in recent years, there is an increasing frequency of extreme weather and climatic events (rainfall), which cause extensive damage to infrastructure and high costs to the economy and society. Therefore, to improve the performance and effectiveness of State bodies engaged in the prevention or eradication of harmful effects in emergency situations, it is necessary to make scientifically sound estimates of the frequency of intense precipitation over the next few years. Solving this important practical tasks is possible through the development of a statistical model of the intensity of the precipitation.

Author Biographies

Donika Dimanova, KONSTANTIN PRESLAVSKI UNIVERSITY OF SHUMEN, SHUMEN 9712, 115, UNIVERSITETSKA STR.

KONSTANTIN PRESLAVSKI UNIVERSITY OF SHUMEN, SHUMEN 9712, 115, UNIVERSITETSKA STR.

Tsvetoslav Tsankov, KONSTANTIN PRESLAVSKI UNIVERSITY OF SHUMEN, SHUMEN 9712, 115, UNIVERSITETSKA STR.

KONSTANTIN PRESLAVSKI UNIVERSITY OF SHUMEN, SHUMEN 9712, 115, UNIVERSITETSKA STR.

ORCID logo https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8633-3476

STATISTICAL MODEL OF THE INTENSITY OF THE RAINFALL IN SHUMEN REGION